Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 22.830592 26.434503 30.355097 34.928212 40.106809 45.779697 52.454965
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.145032 20.921620 26.642532 33.957333 43.015184 53.813482 67.606479
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.585010 17.840828 24.631392 33.952633 46.304459 61.986541 83.257881
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.311292 15.772078 23.290092 34.232460 49.553442 70.011296 99.110750
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.009640 13.160622 20.685064 32.243635 49.257763 73.028373 108.297089
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.044141 12.297541 20.363180 33.320295 53.192360 81.995091 126.205806
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.430894 11.855982 20.563620 35.116517 58.252450 92.872090 147.587697
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.413203 10.565332 19.225296 34.299447 59.157594 97.572136 160.092894
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.446519 9.190506 17.540035 32.669871 58.530115 99.762996 168.795976
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.224141 9.131722 18.084063 34.816997 64.212215 112.208417 194.299549
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.165388 9.371089 19.172453 37.997345 71.867173 128.319849 226.669673
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.738582 8.808678 18.709016 38.324819 74.588988 136.455074 246.492050
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.226858 8.017207 17.768174 37.779945 75.921266 142.700585 264.238682
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.728493 7.169401 16.611270 36.709873 76.238757 147.309957 279.720720
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.400637 6.643809 16.033775 36.699158 78.514209 155.512074 301.996637
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.143038 6.233684 15.638169 36.997967 81.386505 164.964202 327.084855
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.748969 5.398669 14.176980 34.865611 79.216247 164.903690 334.876631
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.623358 5.239307 14.233985 36.019925 83.800229 177.867245 367.518532
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.554001 5.220608 14.619808 37.945147 90.142868 194.621167 408.282978
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.341004 4.746984 13.825213 37.069483 90.444528 199.554317 426.753386
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.117335 4.187373 12.722694 35.322587 88.663907 200.166876 436.814463
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.095792 4.254349 13.266685 37.624163 96.082165 219.942732 485.852894
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.116407 4.463039 14.218414 41.031378 106.266593 246.015294 548.845572